Tropical Storm Debby - Flooding Threat Slowly Shifting NE (2024)

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:52 pm to lsuman25

Posted by CoonassatTEXAS

Austin, TX

Member since Nov 2005

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12z UKMET Is Nola and stalls just inland

This post was edited on 7/31/24 at 2:54 pm

Posted by OysterPoBoy

City of St. George

Member since Jul 2013

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quote:
IIRC, the Baton Rouge flood of 2016 was about 30 inches.

The worst of it. But it happened upstream so that didn’t help.

Posted by redneck

Los Suenos, Costa Rica

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:56 pm to CoonassatTEXAS

quote:
12z UKMET Is Nola and stalls just inland

They'd have to open the upper deck of the Dome

Posted by CarolinaGameco*ck99

Member since Apr 2015

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Posted by OysterPoBoy

City of St. George

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 3:00 pm to CarolinaGameco*ck99

Posted by Cosmo

glassman's guest house

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 3:01 pm to OysterPoBoy

Posted by Dire Wolf

bawcomville

Member since Sep 2008

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12oz Euro is starting to buy a bit of the GFS' bull sh*te

Posted by TDsngumbo

Alpha Silverfox

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 3:57 pm to CoonassatTEXAS

quote:
12z UKMET Is Nola and stalls just inland

Posted by LanierSpots

Sarasota, Florida

Member since Sep 2010

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quote:
Gulf of Mexico gonna get flooded AF

I cant decide if Im mad at it or not yet.

Dry AF here

Posted by LegendInMyMind

Member since Apr 2019

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Posted by tide06

Member since Oct 2011

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 4:53 pm to LanierSpots

quote:
I cant decide if Im mad at it or not yet.

Looking at that rain projection this would be like asking for a lap dance and having a 400 pound stripper come waddling over.

I’d be careful what you ask for with this.

This post was edited on 7/31/24 at 9:37 pm

Posted by ThePoo

Work

Member since Jan 2007

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:10 pm to CoonassatTEXAS

quote:
12z UKMET Is Nola and stalls just inland

if that is the outcome, I might as well start taking the first 4 feet of drywall out of my bottom floor right now

Posted by dallastiger55

Jennings, LA

Member since Jan 2010

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Posted by FLObserver

Jacksonville

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:27 pm to dallastiger55

Posted by BottomlandBrew

Member since Aug 2010

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:33 pm to CoonassatTEXAS

quote:
12z UKMET Is Nola and stalls just inland

Setups that do this are why the coastal region designation lines extend further inland than most people think. A slow-moving tropical system just dumping massive amounts of rain inland while modest wind is pushing surge against the coast. We've seen it before on more localized locations, eg Laplace during Isaac. The storm is pushing water into Pontchartrain while the the rivers are dumping into Maurepas and Pontchartrain.

West of the river isn't safe, either. Modest surge can get pushed up into the Barataria Basin with no where for the watersheds above it to drain to. I remember going from BR to Nola after Isaac, and since I-10 was closed, we had to go back along the west side of the river. I had worked on a lot of computer flood modelling after Katrina, and it was amazing to see how closely our maps lined up with reality. Our models worked, and it was terrifying. It really impressed on me how bad the perfect slow-moving storm would be for the region.

I'm getting off topic, so excuse me. Anyways, back to model watching.

Posted by LSUTiger23

Baton Rouge LA

Member since Jun 2010

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18z GFS has this thing making landfall near Panama City Beach and sitting there until Thursday/Friday.

Oh and your boy has a family vacation planned from Monday - Thursday. Where you ask?

Panama City Beach……

Posted by lsuman25

Erwinville

Member since Aug 2013

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Posted by Tarps99

Lafourche Parish

Member since Apr 2017

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Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:39 pm to BottomlandBrew

quote:
West of the river isn't safe, either. Modest surge can get pushed up into the Barataria Basin with no where for the watersheds above it to drain to. I remember going from BR to Nola after Isaac, and since I-10 was closed, we had to go back along the west side of the river. I had worked on a lot of computer flood modelling after Katrina, and it was amazing to see how closely our maps lined up with reality. Our models worked, and it was terrifying. It really impressed on me how bad the perfect slow-moving storm would be for the region.

I forget which storm in the 1990's before the new levees were built.

Didn't the Harvey Canal almost flood Jefferson because of a storm system that dumped alot of rain and there was no where for the water to go but up and Jefferson Parish had to deploy sand bangs to prevent the levee from over topping.

Now there is a huge floodgate and pump station at the foot of the Harvey Canal to pump out the canal as water is pumped into the canal from the drainage areas in Jefferson Parish.

Posted by Tyga Woods

South Central Jupiter Island, FL

Member since Sep 2016

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Posted by Mr Roboto

Rural Mississippi

Member since Jan 2023

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quote:
18z GFS has this thing making landfall near Panama City Beach and sitting there until Thursday/Friday.

Oh and your boy has a family vacation planned from Monday - Thursday. Where you ask?

Panama City Beach……

It is a good thing to be in the crosshairs this far out. Your family vacation will be alright.

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